How many days Russia Ukraine war will continue

 Predicting the exact duration of the Russia-Ukraine war is incredibly difficult, as it depends on a complex interplay of military, political, economic, and social factors that are constantly shifting. No expert can definitively state how many more days the conflict will continue. However, based on current analysis and expert opinions, several scenarios and general expectations can be discussed.

One prevalent view is that the war will likely be prolonged, continuing well beyond 2025. This perspective, articulated by organizations like GLOBSEC, suggests a "prolonged war of attrition" as a highly probable scenario. The reasoning behind this lies in the current stalemate on the battlefield, where neither side has achieved a decisive breakthrough, and both seem committed to their objectives. Russia, with its larger population and economy increasingly on a war footing, appears prepared for a long grind. Ukraine, fiercely defending its sovereignty, continues to receive substantial, though sometimes fluctuating, support from Western allies, allowing it to sustain its defense. This ongoing dynamic of offensive and defensive actions, coupled with a lack of willingness from either side to compromise on core demands, fuels the expectation of a protracted conflict.

Another factor contributing to a potentially extended timeline is the nature of modern warfare, which increasingly involves technological innovation and adaptation. While there are rapid advancements in drone technology and other areas, these often provide only temporary advantages before the opponent develops countermeasures. This continuous cycle of innovation and counter-innovation means that a single "game-changer" that definitively ends the war is unlikely. Instead, the conflict is characterized by incremental gains and losses, further contributing to a drawn-out struggle.

The geopolitical landscape also plays a crucial role. The level of Western support for Ukraine, particularly from the United States, is a significant determinant. Changes in leadership or shifts in political priorities in key Western nations could drastically alter the flow of aid, impacting Ukraine's ability to resist. For instance, recent discussions around potential changes in US foreign policy and calls for a "negotiated settlement" from some quarters highlight the external pressures that could influence the conflict's duration. However, Russia's consistent dismissal of ceasefire requests and its maximalist demands suggest a difficult path to any quick, negotiated resolution.

Furthermore, domestic factors within both Russia and Ukraine will shape the war's trajectory. Russia's ability to sustain its military industrial complex and mobilize personnel, despite sanctions, indicates its resolve to continue the conflict. In Ukraine, the resilience of its population and leadership, coupled with ongoing international assistance, allows it to maintain its defense. The war has become deeply embedded in the national identities and political narratives of both countries, making a swift cessation of hostilities challenging.

While some optimistic forecasts, even from sources like JPMorgan, have suggested potential resolutions by mid-2025, these often hinge on specific political shifts or pressures that are far from guaranteed. Such predictions are often based on assumptions about external actors forcing a deal or one side reaching a point of exhaustion. However, the current reality suggests a high degree of intransigence from both Moscow and Kyiv, particularly concerning territorial concessions and security guarantees.

In conclusion, while no one can provide an exact number of days, the prevailing expert opinion points towards a prolonged conflict. The war is currently characterized by a grinding attrition, constant adaptation, and deeply entrenched political positions. Unless there is a fundamental shift in the objectives of one or both belligerents, or a dramatic change in the geopolitical support landscape, the Russia-Ukraine war is likely to continue for a considerable period, extending well into 2026 and potentially beyond, with no immediate end in sight.